Liquidity in the Foreign Exchange Market: Measurement, Commonality, and Risk Premiums
نویسندگان
چکیده
منابع مشابه
On biases in the measurement of foreign exchange risk premiums
The hypothesis that the forward rate is an unbiased predictor of the future spot rate has been consistently rejected in recent empirical studies. This paper examines several sources of measurement error and misspecification that might induce biases in such studies. Although previous inferences are shown to be robust to a failure to construct true returns and to omitted variable bias arising fro...
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We study the properties of foreign exchange risk premiums that can explain the forward bias puzzle, defined as the tendency of high-interest rate currencies to appreciate rather than depreciate. These risk premiums arise endogenously from the no-arbitrage condition relating the term structure of interest rates and exchange rates. Estimating affine (multi-currency) term structure models reveals ...
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Empirical tests are performed to examine whether foreign exchange excess returns for the British pound, Canadian dollar, Deutsche mark, and Japanese yen are related to volatility in the currency market and volatility in the stock markets. Our results indicate that volatility (measured by standard deviation and variance) from currency markets is signi® cant in explaining the excess returns, sugg...
متن کاملModelling Risk Premiums in Equity and Foreign Exchange Markets
The observed predictability of excess returns in equity and foreign exchange markets has largely been attributed to the presence of time-varying risk premiums in these markets. For example, excess equity returns were found to be explained by various financial and economic variables. Similarly, in the foreign exchange market, the forward rate was found not to be an unbiased predictor of the futu...
متن کاملMacroeconomic Shocks and the Foreign Exchange Risk Premiums
Using a nonlinear structural Vector Autoregression model based on the general no-arbitrage condition, we examine the empirical relation between macroeconomic shocks and the foreign exchange risk premiums. We find that when the predictable excess returns from currency speculation are interpreted as time-varying risk premiums, more than 80% of its volatility can be accounted for by the same funda...
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ژورنال
عنوان ژورنال: The Journal of Finance
سال: 2013
ISSN: 0022-1082
DOI: 10.1111/jofi.12053